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RAMMB: Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch logo CIRA: Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere logo NESDIS: NOAA Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service logo

Announcement: Please visit out new web application, SLIDER, for every pixel of real-time GOES-16 and Himawari-8 imagery.


Nov 15 2012: TEST PAGE - FOR EVALUATION PURPOSES ONLY! This is the website for the new experimental TC formation product, which is in its development phase and should NOT be used for operations or research. Please use the operational product supported by NESDIS at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/index.html.

FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY - Official Tropical Cyclone forecasts are provided by the National Hurricane Center (www.nhc.noaa.gov)


West Pacific Basin (EXPERIMENTAL VERSION)

Cumulative 0-48h TC Formation Probability

Real-Time Climatological Anomaly
0-48h TCFP (%)

24-48h TC Formation Probability

Real-Time Climatological Anomaly
24-48h TCFP (%)

24-48h Input Parameters

Real-Time Climatological Anomaly
850 hPa Relative Vorticity (x10-6 s-1)
Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C
850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt)
Vertical Instability (°C)
Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)
850 hPa Horizontal Divergence (x10-6 s-1)
Mean Sea Level Pressure (hPa)
Reynolds SST (°C)
850 hPa Horizontal Temp Advection (x10-6 °Cs-1)

Subbasin Areas

Time Series Products on Subbasins

  0-48 hr TC Formation Probability 850 hPa Relative Vorticity Percent WV Pixels < -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear Vertical Instability Cloud-cleared WV Brightness Temperature 850 hPa Horizontal Divergence Mean Sea Level Pressure Reynolds SST 850 hPa Horizontal Temp Advection
NW Pacific I
NW Pacific II
NW Pacific III
NW Pacific IV
NW Pacific V
Southwest Pacific